Wednesday, January 2, 2008

Ron Paul Will Finish 3rd in Iowa

If it is a FAIR CAUCUS!

"Ron Paul Will Finish 3rd in Iowa

Madison Thacker
Nolan Chart
Wednesday, January 2, 2008

Zogby currently shows Ron Paul tied with Giuliani and Thompson at 8%, and 3 points behind McCain in Iowa, among likely Republican caucus voters.

Another Zogby poll in November showed that Independents and Democrats represent 60% of Paul's support nationwide. From the last paragraph of Zogby's press release:

"Paul was the big winner among that universe of voters, winning 33%, compared to 19% for Giuliani, 15% for Romney, and 13% for Thompson."

If this poll is at all reflective of Paul's true support, and holds true in Iowa, then his real polling number in Iowa is closer to 20%, which would give him at least a 3rd place finish.

After that, all the rules may change.
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