"How will Jews respond to the Gaza breakout?"
How will the Jews respond to the Gaza breakout? For the moment, no one knows – not even the Jews themselves. I used that boat picture for reasons that (I hope) will become clear below…
The Gaza prison escape will make or break Olmert, who is on very thin ice. His political troubles are one reason why the Jews clamped down harder than ever on Gaza, and why they have been threatening a full-scale invasion of Gaza for a month. This was necessary for the Ashkenazis to hold on to power in ziostan, as I will explain. It is also why Olmert recently said that if there is not a “two-state solution,” then Israel will be “finished.” This was hot air designed to inflame Zionist hardliners.
To understand ziostan, you must understand the constant power struggle between Ashkenazis and all other Jews (Mizrahis, Sephardics, Russians, etc) in ziostan. Ashkenazis can only hold power as long as there is a “threat," as I noted in my analysis of the mid-1990s Argentina bombings.
Whenever Ashkenazis lose power, they arrange for an upswing of (alleged) rocket attacks from Gaza. Now they may be saved by the Gaza breakout -- although Olmert himself could be finished.
On 30 January 2008 the Winograd Commission will publish its final report on Lebanon War II. This will put Olmert is a difficult position – although he will never leave until he loses numerical support in the Knesset. Demonstrators in the street will demand his dismissal. Labor Party leader Ehud Barak promised to resign on the day the report is issued, but he will not resign. This will increase political tension.
Last week the ultra-racist Avigdor Lieberman resigned, taking several Knesset members with him, thus weakening Olmert. Competing hardliners (like Netanyahu) are trying to exploit this, saying Lieberman’s exit is “proof” that Olmert is serious about a “two-state solution.” They say only they can save ziostan.
The only thing that keeps Olmert in power now is the Shas party, which has eleven members in the Knesset, plus four cabinet ministers. They formed an alliance with Olmert in 2006, and their alliance now gives Olmert 67 votes in the 120-member Knesset, which is not a huge margin.
The Shas party mainly represents ultra-orthodox Sephardi and Mizrahi Jews. They favor the Torah over the Talmud, but they are also radically militant zionists who dream of “Greater Israel” stretching from the Nile to the Euphrates. Their current leader, Eli Yishai, is one of four deputy prime ministers.
The Shas party are not Ashkenazis. If they think it is no longer to their advantage to support Olmert, then they will break from him, in which case Olmert will be gone by dint of sheer mathematics (votes in the Kneesset). Other Ashkenazis like Netanyahu are probably trying to make deals with the Shas party in an attempt to replace Olmert.
The Shas party says it will break from Olmert the moment the government starts talking with the Palestinians about Jerusalem. This is hot air, but when the final Winograd Report comes out, more Knesset members may desert Olmert. If Olmert loses seven or more members – for whatever reason – he is done.
Everyone is waiting to see what everyone else does, which is why there has been little Israeli comment about the Gaza breakout. Everything depends on which way the political wind blows.
For the last couple of weeks, leftist parties such as Meretz -Yachad have been saying Olmert must resign. They see that he is weak, and they smell blood in the water. Yesterday Meretz MK Zahava Gal-On called on Olmert to resign, making public the testimony of cabinet ministers to the Winograd Commission. Leftists say Olmert caused Israel’s humiliating defeat in Lebanon by sending in ground troops during the last two days of the Jewish attack, thus finishing the Jews.
The point is that Olmert is on very thin ice. WUFYS readers hear this every week, but now, mathematically, Olmert really is in trouble.
How will the Jews respond to the Gaza breakout? They will do nothing – for the moment. Everyone in the central government has his finger in the wind.
It does seem clear that there will be changes. Within a week or so, Olmert will become stronger, or he will be gone.
Hosni Mubarak is waiting to see what will happen politically in ziostan during the next two weeks. He knows that if he rebuilds the wall, the Jews will cause another crisis, so for now he is just observing. Bush is also observing, and is probably relieved. The situation in Gaza became so bad that it was harder and harder for Bush to excuse Jewish atrocities. Most Jews in Congress are low key, since they have no idea which way the wind will blow in ziostan. (Of course the usual media worms will squeal, "TERRORISM!")
Again, all this came about because the Olmert regime was in deep trouble, and vented its tension at Gaza, hoping for more rocket attacks.
Hardliners say the breakout means they must lead ziostan. Competitors say the current regime caused the breakout.
The next two weeks will be interesting indeed.
________________________________________________
P.S. Here's another fly in the zio-ointment...
This week Ahmadinejad telephoned Mubarak for the first time ever, and asked him to let Palestinians out of Gaza.
Iran cut diplomatic ties with Egypt after Sadat signed a peace agreement with Israel and provided asylum for the Shah.
Lately Iran has been pushing for improving ties with Egypt, but the USA and ziostan have pressured Egypt not to respond. The USA sends $1.3 billion a year to Egypt’s government.
Iran's support for Iraqi Shiites, Lebanon's Hezbollah and Hamas group caused friction with Egypt, resulting in very limited diplomatic contacts between the two countries.
Early this month, however, top level Iranian envoy Ali Larijani met with Egyptian officials in Cairo. His trip followed an exchange of visits by the countries' deputy foreign ministers in September and October 2007.
Ahmadinejad has repeatedly offered to restore ties, something Egypt says it is considering. Egypt says full diplomatic relations can only be restored if Iran takes down a large mural of former Sadat's assassin, Khaled el-Islambouli, and change the name of a street honoring him.
